Ath Madrid – Alaves
La Liga · January 18, 2026
Ath Madrid
1–0
Alaves
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Ath Madrid 67%
X · 22%
2 · Alaves 11%
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Expected goals | 1.82 – 0.61 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 16, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.