Certor

Ath Madrid – Almeria

La Liga · December 10, 2023

Ath Madrid 2–1 Almeria

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Madrid 78% X · 14% 2 · Almeria 8%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals2.75 – 0.78
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 8, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.