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Ath Madrid – Ath Bilbao

La Liga · April 27, 2024

Ath Madrid 3–1 Ath Bilbao

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Madrid 51% X · 27% 2 · Ath Bilbao 22%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.50 – 0.88
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 26, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.