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Ath Madrid – Barcelona

La Liga · April 4, 2026

Ath Madrid 1–2 Barcelona

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Madrid 38% X · 24% 2 · Barcelona 38%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.51 – 1.52
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.