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Ath Madrid – Osasuna

La Liga · October 18, 2025

Ath Madrid 1–0 Osasuna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Madrid 68% X · 20% 2 · Osasuna 12%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.97 – 0.66
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.