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Ath Madrid – Real Madrid

La Liga · September 24, 2023

Ath Madrid 3–1 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Madrid 38% X · 26% 2 · Real Madrid 36%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.42 – 1.37
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 22, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.