Certor

Ath Madrid – Vallecano

La Liga · January 31, 2024

Ath Madrid 2–1 Vallecano

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Madrid 65% X · 21% 2 · Vallecano 14%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.96 – 0.78
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 26, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.