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Ath Madrid – Villarreal

La Liga · August 23, 2026

Ath Madrid 2–2 Villarreal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Madrid 55% X · 22% 2 · Villarreal 23%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.90 – 1.17
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 23, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.