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Atl. Madrid – Malaga

La Liga · August 19, 2026

Atl. Madrid 2–0 Malaga

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atl. Madrid 38% X · 28% 2 · Malaga 34%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.22 – 1.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 19, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.