Certor

Augsburg – Darmstadt

Bundesliga · October 7, 2023

Augsburg 1–2 Darmstadt

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Augsburg 59% X · 22% 2 · Darmstadt 19%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals2.19 – 1.19
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 6, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.