Certor

Augsburg – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · November 11, 2023

Augsburg 1–1 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Augsburg 34% X · 27% 2 · Hoffenheim 39%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.61
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 10, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.