Certor

Augsburg – Leverkusen

Bundesliga · September 12, 2026

Augsburg 2–2 Leverkusen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Augsburg 22% X · 24% 2 · Leverkusen 54%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.18 – 1.95
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 12, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.