Certor

Augsburg – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · May 9, 2026

Augsburg 3–1 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Augsburg 38% X · 27% 2 · M'gladbach 35%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.50 – 1.45
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.