Certor

Augsburg – Mainz

Bundesliga · September 23, 2023

Augsburg 2–1 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Augsburg 36% X · 29% 2 · Mainz 35%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.38 – 1.37
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 22, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.