Certor

Augsburg – Stuttgart

Bundesliga · March 22, 2026

Augsburg 2–5 Stuttgart

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Augsburg 25% X · 26% 2 · Stuttgart 49%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.22 – 1.77
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.