Certor

Augsburg – Union Berlin

Bundesliga · May 17, 2025

Augsburg 1–2 Union Berlin

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Augsburg 36% X · 32% 2 · Union Berlin 32%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.18 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.