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AVS – Alverca

Primeira Liga · October 4, 2025

AVS 1–3 Alverca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AVS 25% X · 25% 2 · Alverca 50%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals0.97 – 1.51
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.