Certor

AVS – Porto

Primeira Liga · May 10, 2026

AVS 3–1 Porto

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AVS 5% X · 12% 2 · Porto 83%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score33%
Expected goals0.45 – 2.56
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.