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AZ Alkmaar – Ajax

Eredivisie · February 8, 2026

AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Ajax

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 38% X · 24% 2 · Ajax 38%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.59 – 1.58
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.