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AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior

Eredivisie · March 10, 2024

AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Excelsior

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 80% X · 13% 2 · Excelsior 7%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals2.96 – 0.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 8, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.