AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior
Eredivisie · January 21, 2026
AZ Alkmaar
1–1
Excelsior
final score
What we said before the match
1 · AZ Alkmaar 74%
X · 16%
2 · Excelsior 10%
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Expected goals | 2.55 – 0.85 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 17, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.