Certor

AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles

Eredivisie · December 7, 2025

AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 61% X · 21% 2 · Go Ahead Eagles 18%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals2.12 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 6, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.