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AZ Alkmaar – Groningen

Eredivisie · May 11, 2025

AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Groningen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 68% X · 20% 2 · Groningen 12%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals2.14 – 0.78
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.