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AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen

Eredivisie · April 12, 2026

AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 59% X · 22% 2 · Heerenveen 19%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals2.12 – 1.16
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.