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AZ Alkmaar – NAC Breda

Eredivisie · May 17, 2026

AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 69% X · 21% 2 · NAC Breda 10%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals2.10 – 0.68
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.