Certor

AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen

Eredivisie · August 17, 2024

AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Nijmegen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 59% X · 23% 2 · Nijmegen 18%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals2.06 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 16, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.