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AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie · November 9, 2025

AZ Alkmaar 1–5 PSV Eindhoven

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 32% X · 22% 2 · PSV Eindhoven 46%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score68%
Expected goals1.59 – 1.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.