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AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie · February 22, 2026

AZ Alkmaar 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 54% X · 25% 2 · Sparta Rotterdam 21%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.74 – 1.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 21, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.