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AZ Alkmaar – Telstar

Eredivisie · September 20, 2026

AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 61% X · 23% 2 · Telstar 16%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals2.07 – 1.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.