Certor

AZ Alkmaar – Twente

Eredivisie · May 5, 2024

AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Twente

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 42% X · 29% 2 · Twente 29%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.45 – 1.18
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 3, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.