Certor

AZ Alkmaar – Twente

Eredivisie · December 21, 2024

AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Twente

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 45% X · 26% 2 · Twente 29%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.62 – 1.24
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 21, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.