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AZ Alkmaar – Volendam

Eredivisie · January 10, 2026

AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Volendam

final score

What we said before the match

1 · AZ Alkmaar 78% X · 14% 2 · Volendam 8%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.81 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.