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Barcelona – Alaves

La Liga · November 12, 2023

Barcelona 2–1 Alaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Barcelona 80% X · 14% 2 · Alaves 6%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score39%
Expected goals2.50 – 0.55
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 10, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.