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Barcelona – Ath Madrid

La Liga · December 2, 2025

Barcelona 3–1 Ath Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Barcelona 56% X · 22% 2 · Ath Madrid 22%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.99 – 1.18
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 28, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.