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Barcelona – Celta

La Liga · April 22, 2026

Barcelona 1–0 Celta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Barcelona 75% X · 15% 2 · Celta 10%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.65 – 0.90
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 21, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.