Certor

Barcelona – Oviedo

La Liga · January 25, 2026

Barcelona 3–0 Oviedo

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Barcelona 93% X · 5% 2 · Oviedo 2%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals3.88 – 0.48
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 23, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.