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Barcelona – Real Madrid

La Liga · May 10, 2026

Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Barcelona 49% X · 22% 2 · Real Madrid 29%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score68%
Expected goals2.01 – 1.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 8, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.