Certor

Barcelona – Sevilla

La Liga · October 20, 2024

Barcelona 5–1 Sevilla

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Barcelona 72% X · 17% 2 · Sevilla 11%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.44 – 0.86
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.