Certor

Barcelona – Sociedad

La Liga · March 2, 2025

Barcelona 4–0 Sociedad

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Barcelona 65% X · 21% 2 · Sociedad 14%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.99 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 28, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.