Certor

Barcelona – Vallecano

La Liga · August 31, 2026

Barcelona 5–2 Vallecano

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Barcelona 75% X · 15% 2 · Vallecano 10%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals2.55 – 0.81
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 31, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.