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Bayern Munich – Augsburg

Bundesliga · January 24, 2026

Bayern Munich 1–2 Augsburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bayern Munich 89% X · 8% 2 · Augsburg 3%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals3.66 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 23, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.