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Bayern Munich – Dortmund

Bundesliga · October 18, 2025

Bayern Munich 2–1 Dortmund

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bayern Munich 69% X · 17% 2 · Dortmund 14%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score68%
Expected goals2.78 – 1.26
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.