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Bayern Munich – St Pauli

Bundesliga · November 29, 2025

Bayern Munich 3–1 St Pauli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bayern Munich 86% X · 11% 2 · St Pauli 3%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals2.98 – 0.50
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 28, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.