Benfica – Alverca
Primeira Liga · February 8, 2026
Benfica
2–1
Alverca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Benfica 89%
X · 8%
2 · Alverca 3%
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
| Both teams to score | 39% |
| Expected goals | 3.23 – 0.52 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 8, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.