Benfica – Arouca
Primeira Liga · April 13, 2025
Benfica
2–2
Arouca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Benfica 81%
X · 12%
2 · Arouca 7%
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Expected goals | 2.72 – 0.65 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 11, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.