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Benfica – Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · October 28, 2023

Benfica 1–1 Casa Pia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 77% X · 16% 2 · Casa Pia 7%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score34%
Expected goals2.18 – 0.49
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 27, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.