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Benfica – Estoril

Primeira Liga · August 31, 2026

Benfica 2–1 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 83% X · 11% 2 · Estoril 6%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals3.02 – 0.73
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 31, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.