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Benfica – Estrela

Primeira Liga · August 24, 2024

Benfica 1–0 Estrela

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 86% X · 10% 2 · Estrela 4%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals2.89 – 0.52
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 23, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.