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Benfica – Famalicao

Primeira Liga · December 22, 2025

Benfica 1–0 Famalicao

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 75% X · 16% 2 · Famalicao 9%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals2.32 – 0.68
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 20, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.