Certor

Benfica – Guimaraes

Primeira Liga · December 7, 2024

Benfica 1–0 Guimaraes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 74% X · 16% 2 · Guimaraes 10%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals2.31 – 0.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 6, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.